DIMACS/MBI US - African BioMathematics Initiative: Workshop and Advanced Study Institute on Economic Epidemiology

July 20 - 31, 2009
(Workshop August 3 - 5, 2009)
Makerere University in Kampala, Uganda

Organizers:

Matt Bonds, Harvard University (ASI program co-organizer), mbonds at hsph.harvard.edu

Nina Fefferman, Rutgers University (Workshop program co-chair), fefferman at AESOP.Rutgers.edu

Alison Galvani, Yale University (ASI program co-organizer), alison.galvani at yale. edu

Wayne Getz, UC Berkeley, getz at nature.berkeley.edu

Abba Gumel, U. of Manitoba (ASI program organizer), gumelab at @cc.umanitoba.ca

Ramanan Laxminarayan, Resources for the Future (Workshop program co-chair), ramanan at rff.org

Simon Levin, Princeton University, slevin at princeton.edu

Jan Medlock, Clemson University (ASI program co-organizer), medlock@clemson.edu

Joseph Mugisha, Makerere University, jytmugisha at math.mak.ac.ug

Fred Roberts, DIMACS, froberts at dimacs.rutgers.edu

Dave Smith, University of Florida, davesmith at ufl.edu

ASI Staff:

Nelly Biondi, SACEMA, biondi.nelly at gmail.com

Matt Bonds, Harvard University (ASI program co-organizer), mbonds at hsph.harvard.edu

Nina Fefferman, Rutgers University (Workshop program co-chair), fefferman at AESOP.Rutgers.edu

Patricia Geli Rolfhamre, Resources for the Future, patricia at rff.org

Wayne Getz, UC Berkeley, getz at nature.berkeley.edu

Abba Gumel, U. of Manitoba (ASI program organizer), gumelab at @cc.umanitoba.ca

Dorothy Hove-Musekwa, National University of Science and Technology (NUST), sdhmusekwa at gmail.com

Ramanan Laxminarayan, Resources for the Future (Workshop program co-chair), ramanan at rff.org

Jan Medlock, Clemson University (ASI program co-organizer), medlock at clemson.edu

Joseph Mugisha, Makerere University, jytmugisha at math.mak.ac.ug

Fred Roberts, DIMACS, froberts at dimacs.rutgers.edu

Michael Washington, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), mtw4 at cdc.gov

This Advanced Study Institute and workshop are jointly organized with the Mathematics of Information Technology and Complex Systems (MITACS).

This Advanced Study Institute and workshop are jointly sponsored by:

• DIMACS
• The International Development Research Centre (IDRC)
• The Mathematical Biosciences Institute at Ohio State University (MBI)
• The Mathematics of Information Technology and Complex Systems (MITACS)
• The Society of Mathematical Biology (SMB)
• South African Centre for Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA)
• US National Science Foundation

Required Readings for the Economic Epidemiology ASI:

• Overview of infectious disease epidemiology
  • Giesecke J, Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology. Oxford University Press. Review/Skim the following Chapters: 1, 2, and 11.

• Spread and persistence of infections in communities
  • Giesecke J, Modern Infectious Disease Epidemiology. Oxford University Press. Review/Skim the following Chapters: 14, 17 and 19.

• Basic reproductive number
  • Simpson H. "Infectiousness of communicable disease in the household." Lancet 1952; 99-104.
  • Read at least one of the following:
    • Wallinga J, Edmunds WJ, Kretzscmar M. "Perspective: human contact patters and the spread of airborne infectious diseases." Trends in Microbiology. 1999; 372-377.
    • Edmunds WJ et al. "Who mixes with whom? A method to determine the contact patterns of adults that may lead to the spread of airborne infections." Proc R. Soc 1997; 264: 949-957.
  • Read at least one of the following:
    • Borgdorff MW, Nagelkerke NJ, de Haas PE, van Soolingen D. Transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis depending on the age and sex of source cases. Am J Epidemiol. 2001 Nov 15;154(10):934-43.
    • Hooper RR, Reynolds GH, Jones OG, Zaidi A, Wiesner PJ, Latimer KP, Lester A,Campbell AF, Harrison WO, Karney WW, Holmes KK. Cohort study of venereal disease. I: the risk of gonorrhea transmission from infected women to men. Am J Epidemiol. 1978 Aug;108(2):136-44.

• Vaccination
  • Nokes DJ, Anderson RM, "Application of mathematical models to the design of immunization strategies." Reviews in Medical Microbiology 1993; 4: 1-7.
  • Fine PEM, Herd immunity: history, theory, practice. Epidemiol Rev. 1993;15(2):265-302
    • Pages 265-278
    • Pages 279-290
    • Pages 291-302
  • Panagiotopoulos T, Antoniadou I, Valassi-Adam E. Increase in congenital rubella occurrence after immunisation in Greece: retrospective survey and systematic review. BMJ. 1999 Dec 4;319(7223):1462-6.

• Population and within host dynamics of HIV
  • Phillips AN, McLean A, Johnson MA, Tyrer M, Emery V, Griffiths P, Bofill M, Janossy G, Loveday C. HIV-1 dynamics after transient antiretroviral therapy: implications for pathogenesis and clinical management. J Med Virol. 1997 Nov;53(3):261-5.

• Tuberculosis and multi-drug resistance in TB
  • Read at least one of the following:
    • Blower SM, McLean AR, Porco TC, Small PM, Hopewell PC, Sanchez MA, Moss AR.. "The intrinsic transmission dynamics of tuberculosis epidemics." Nat Med. 1995; 8:815-21.
    • Rieder HL. "Methodological issues in the estimation of the tuberculosis problem from tuberculin surveys." Tubercle and Lung Dis 1995; 76: 114-121.

• Malaria models
  • Koella JC. "On the use of mathematical models of malaria transmission." Acta Tropica 1991; 49:1-25.

Recommended Readings for the Economic Epidemiology ASI:

• Overview of infectious disease epidemiology
  • Cohen M. Changing patterns of infectious disease. Nature 2000; 406: 762-767

• Spread and persistence of infections in communities
  • Grenfell BT, Bolker BM, "Population Dynamics of Measles." In Scott ME, Smith G, eds. Parasitic and Infectious Diseases. San Diego, California: Academic Press, 1994

• Vaccination
  • Nokes DJ, Anderson RM, Mathematical models of infectious agent transmission and the impact of mass vaccination. Reviews in Medical Microbiology 1992; 3:187-192
  • Halloran ME, Struchiner CJ, Longini IM Jr. Study designs for evaluating different efficacy and effectiveness aspects of vaccines. Am J Epidemiol. 1997 Nov 15;146(10):789-803

• Population and within host dynamics of HIV
  • Nowak, M. "The mathematical biology of human infections." Conservation Ecology 1999; 3:

• Tuberculosis and multi-drug resistance in TB
  • Blower SM, Small PM, Hopewell PC. "Control strategies for tuberculosis epidemics: new models for old problems." Science 1996; 273: 497-500

• Malaria models
  • Lindsay SW. and Birley MH. "Climate Change and malaria transmission." Annals of Tropical Medicine and Parasitology 1996; 90: 573-588
  • Lindblade KA, Walker ED, Onapa AW, Katungu J, Wilson ML. Land use change alters malaria transmission parameters by modifying temperature in a highland area of Uganda. Trop Med Int Health. 2000 Apr;5(4):263-74

• Overview of infectious disease epidemiology
  • Read AF, Lynch PA, Thomas MB. How to make evolution-proof insecticides for malaria control. PLoS Biol. 2009; 7(4): e1000058. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1000058. http://www.plosbiology.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pbio.1000058

• Additional Reading Suggestions
  • D. L. Smith, S.A. Levin & R. Laxminarayan, (2005) "Strategic interactions in multi-institutional epidemics of antibiotic resistance," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 102(8): 3153-3158.
  • Klein, E., R. Laxminarayan, D. L. Smith, & C. A. Gilligan, (2007) "Economic incentives and mathematical models of disease," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(05), 707-732, October.
  • R. E. Rowthorn, R. Laxminarayan & C. A. Gilligan, (2009) "Optimal control of epidemics in metapopulations," Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 1-10, March, (doi: 10.1098/rsif.2008.0402)
  • D. E. Bloom & D. Canning, (2000) "The Health and Wealth of Nations," Science, vol. 287, February 18, 1207?9. (Reprinted as Chapter 26 in Health and Disease: A Reader, Clara Waissbein, ed, 2001, Open University Press.)
  • S. A. Frank, (1996) "Models of Parasite Virulence," Quarterly Review of Biology, vol. 71(01), 37-38, March.
  • F. Read, P. A. Lynch, & M. B. Thomas, (2009) "How to Make Evolution-Proof Insecticides for Malaria Control," Public Library of Science Biology, vol. 7(1), 1-10, April.
  • J. D. Sachs, (2001) "Macroeconomics and Health: Investing in Health for Economic Development," Report of the Commission on Macroeconomics and Health presented to Gro Harlem Brundtland, Director-General of the World Health Organization, December.
  • R. Baltussen, K. Floyd and C. Dye, (2005) "Cost effectiveness analysis of strategies for tuberculosis control in developing countries," British Medical Journal, 331;1364, (originally published online 10 Nov 2005; doi:10.1136/bmj.38645.660093.68)
  • D. R. Hogan, R. Baltussen, C. Hayashi, J. A. Lauer, J. A. Salomon, (2005) "Cost effectiveness analysis of strategies to combat HIV/AIDS in developing countries," British Medical Journal, doi:10.1136/bmj.38643.368692.68 (published 10 November 2005)
  • C. A. Goodman, P. G. Coleman, A. J. Mills, (1999) "Cost-effectiveness of malaria control in sub-Saharan Africa" The Lancet, vol. 354, 378-85, July.
  • J. G. Kahn, E. Marseille, B. Auvert, (2006) "Cost-Effectiveness of Male Circumcision for HIV Prevention in a South African Setting," Public Library of Science Medicine, vol. 3(12), 2349-2358, e517, December.
  • Dye C et al. "Global burden of tuberculosis: estimated incidence, prevalence and mortality by country." JAMA 1999; 282: 677-687

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